C.D. Santa Clara crestC.D. Santa ClaravsFC Arouca crestFC Arouca

C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

C.D. Santa Clara or draw75%

1X2: model backs C.D. Santa Clara at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko48% / 27% / 25%
  • C.D. Santa Clara
  • Draw
  • FC Arouca

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • C.D. Santa Clara or draw75%
  • Draw or FC Arouca52%
  • C.D. Santa Clara or FC Arouca73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.542%
  • Under 2.558%

Both teams to score

  • C.D. Santa Clara, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick C.D. Santa Clara, rating it at 47.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and C.D. Santa Clara won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

C.D. Santa Clara: WDWWD

FC Arouca: WDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.20Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-13FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara1–2
2026-07-25C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca3–0
2026-05-02FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara2–2
2025-12-21C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca0–0
2025-04-26C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca2–0
2024-12-15FC Arouca vs C.D. Santa Clara1–0
2023-02-11FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara1–0
2022-08-20CD Santa Clara vs FC Arouca1–2
2022-04-15FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara1–1
2021-12-05CD Santa Clara vs FC Arouca2–1

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FAQ

Who will win C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca?
Tofiko's model favours C.D. Santa Clara (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca kick off?
Sun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the C.D. Santa Clara vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legArouca 1-2 Santa Clara13 Sept 2026 →