FC Aroucavs
Sporting CPFC Arouca vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Sporting CP to win73%
1X2: model backs Sporting CP at 73%.
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- Sporting CP
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Arouca or draw27%
- Draw or Sporting CP93%
- FC Arouca or Sporting CP80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Sporting CP, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 73.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 139 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Arouca: WDLDW
Sporting CP: WDDWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 139 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Sporting CP vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-24 | FC Arouca vs Sporting CP | 1–2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Sporting CP vs FC Arouca | 6–0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-13 | FC Arouca vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–3 |
| 2024-03-10 | FC Arouca vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–3 |
| 2023-10-08 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2023-04-16 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-29 | FC Arouca vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs Sporting CP?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs Sporting CP kick off?
- Sun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.