SL Benfica crestSL BenficavsCasa Pia AC crestCasa Pia AC

SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SL Benfica78%

  • SL Benfica 78%
  • Draw 17%
  • Casa Pia AC 5%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 78.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and SL Benfica won 5 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 16.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SL Benfica: WWWWD

Casa Pia AC: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 44%Both scored
  • 56%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-17Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica0–7
2026-04-06Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica1–1
2025-11-09SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC2–2
2025-01-25Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica3–1
2024-08-17SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC3–0
2024-03-17Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica0–1
2023-10-28SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC1–1
2023-02-04SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC3–0
2022-08-13Casa Pia AC(N) vs SL Benfica0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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