SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica78%
- SL Benfica 78%
- Draw 17%
- Casa Pia AC 5%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 78.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and SL Benfica won 5 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 16.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SL Benfica: WWWWD
Casa Pia AC: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica | 0–7 |
| 2026-04-06 | Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-25 | Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica | 3–1 |
| 2024-08-17 | SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC | 3–0 |
| 2024-03-17 | Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
| 2023-10-28 | SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Casa Pia AC(N) vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.