Casa Pia ACvs
SL BenficaCasa Pia AC vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 16 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica74%
- Casa Pia AC 6%
- Draw 20%
- SL Benfica 74%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 73.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Casa Pia AC won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Casa Pia AC's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Casa Pia AC: LLWWD
SL Benfica: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-25 | Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica | 3–1 |
| 2024-08-17 | SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC | 3–0 |
| 2024-03-17 | Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
| 2023-10-28 | SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | SL Benfica vs Casa Pia AC | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Casa Pia AC(N) vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Casa Pia AC vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.