SL Benficavs
FC PortoSL Benfica vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
SL Benfica to win51%
1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 51%.
- SL Benfica
- Draw
- FC Porto
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SL Benfica or draw77%
- Draw or FC Porto49%
- SL Benfica or FC Porto74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- SL Benfica, last 10 home games7 of 10
- FC Porto, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 51.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 4 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SL Benfica: WLWWW
FC Porto: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 3–1 |
| 2026-03-08 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-05 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 0–0 |
| 2025-04-06 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 1–4 |
| 2024-11-10 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 4–1 |
| 2024-03-03 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 5–0 |
| 2023-09-29 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-07 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-21 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-07 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs FC Porto?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs FC Porto kick off?
- Sun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.