FC Portovs
SL BenficaFC Porto vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 20 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto48%
- FC Porto 48%
- Draw 26%
- SL Benfica 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 48.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 4 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC Porto's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Porto: WWLWW
SL Benfica: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-05 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 0–0 |
| 2025-04-06 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 1–4 |
| 2024-11-10 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 4–1 |
| 2024-03-03 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 5–0 |
| 2023-09-29 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-07 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-21 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-07 | SL Benfica vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2021-12-30 | FC Porto vs SL Benfica | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.