FC Porto crestFC PortovsSL Benfica crestSL Benfica

FC Porto 3-1 SL Benfica — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 20 Sep 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Porto45%

Tofiko45% / 25% / 30%
Market33% / 28% / 39%
  • FC Porto
  • Draw
  • SL Benfica

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 4 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

FC Porto: WWLWW

SL Benfica: LWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-20FC Porto vs SL Benfica3–1
2026-03-08SL Benfica vs FC Porto2–2
2025-10-05FC Porto vs SL Benfica0–0
2025-04-06FC Porto vs SL Benfica1–4
2024-11-10SL Benfica vs FC Porto4–1
2024-03-03FC Porto vs SL Benfica5–0
2023-09-29SL Benfica vs FC Porto1–0
2023-04-07SL Benfica vs FC Porto1–2
2022-10-21FC Porto vs SL Benfica0–1
2022-05-07SL Benfica vs FC Porto0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Porto vs SL Benfica?
Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Porto vs SL Benfica kick off?
Sun, 20 Sep 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Porto vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBenfica vs FC Porto28 Feb 2027 →