Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
SL Benfica to win68%
1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 68%.
- Vitoria Guimaraes
- Draw
- SL Benfica
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Vitoria Guimaraes or draw32%
- Draw or SL Benfica91%
- Vitoria Guimaraes or SL Benfica78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 home games4 of 10
- SL Benfica, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 68.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 146 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
SL Benfica: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 146 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
| 2025-04-19 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
| 2024-12-07 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-02 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 4–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 5–1 |
| 2022-10-01 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica | 0–0 |
| 2022-02-27 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.