Vitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria GuimaraesvsSL Benfica crestSL Benfica

Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SL Benfica to win68%

1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 68%.

Tofiko9% / 22% / 68%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Draw
  • SL Benfica

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Vitoria Guimaraes or draw32%
  • Draw or SL Benfica91%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes or SL Benfica78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.552%
  • Under 2.548%

Both teams to score

  • Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • SL Benfica, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 68.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 146 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD

SL Benfica: WLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 146 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-11SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes2–0
2026-03-21SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0
2025-11-01Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica0–3
2025-04-19Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica0–3
2024-12-07SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–0
2024-02-11Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica2–2
2023-09-02SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes4–0
2023-03-18SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes5–1
2022-10-01Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica0–0
2022-02-27SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica kick off?
Sun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBenfica 2-0 Vitória SC11 Oct 2026 →