SL Benfica crestSL BenficavsMoreirense crestMoreirense

SL Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SL Benfica to win78%

1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 78%.

Tofiko78% / 17% / 5%
  • SL Benfica
  • Draw
  • Moreirense

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SL Benfica or draw95%
  • Draw or Moreirense22%
  • SL Benfica or Moreirense83%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.560%
  • Under 2.540%

Both teams to score

  • SL Benfica, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Moreirense, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 77.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 6 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 112 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SL Benfica: WLWWW

Moreirense: LDWLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 112 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-09Moreirense vs SL Benfica0–4
2026-04-25SL Benfica vs Moreirense4–1
2025-12-14Moreirense vs SL Benfica0–4
2025-02-08SL Benfica vs Moreirense3–2
2024-08-30Moreirense vs SL Benfica1–1
2024-04-14SL Benfica vs Moreirense3–0
2023-12-03Moreirense vs SL Benfica0–0
2022-01-15SL Benfica vs Moreirense1–1
2021-08-07Moreirense vs SL Benfica1–2
2021-02-14Moreirense vs SL Benfica1–1

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FAQ

Who will win SL Benfica vs Moreirense?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SL Benfica vs Moreirense kick off?
Sun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the SL Benfica vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legMoreirense 0-4 Benfica9 Sept 2026 →