Moreirensevs
SL BenficaMoreirense vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica72%
- Moreirense 7%
- Draw 21%
- SL Benfica 72%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 72.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Moreirense won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Moreirense: LWDLD
SL Benfica: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | SL Benfica vs Moreirense | 4–1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Moreirense vs SL Benfica | 0–4 |
| 2025-02-08 | SL Benfica vs Moreirense | 3–2 |
| 2024-08-30 | Moreirense vs SL Benfica | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-14 | SL Benfica vs Moreirense | 3–0 |
| 2023-12-03 | Moreirense vs SL Benfica | 0–0 |
| 2022-01-15 | SL Benfica vs Moreirense | 1–1 |
| 2021-08-07 | Moreirense vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
| 2021-02-14 | Moreirense vs SL Benfica | 1–1 |
| 2020-09-26 | SL Benfica vs Moreirense | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Moreirense vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Moreirense vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.