SL Benfica crestSL BenficavsRio Ave F.C. crestRio Ave F.C.

SL Benfica vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SL Benfica to win78%

1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 78%.

Tofiko78% / 17% / 5%
  • SL Benfica
  • Draw
  • Rio Ave F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SL Benfica or draw95%
  • Draw or Rio Ave F.C.22%
  • SL Benfica or Rio Ave F.C.83%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.562%
  • Under 2.538%

Both teams to score

  • SL Benfica, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Rio Ave F.C., last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 78.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 8 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 202 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SL Benfica: WLWWW

Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 202 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-17Rio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica0–2
2025-09-23SL Benfica vs Rio Ave F.C.1–1
2025-03-16Rio Ave FC vs SL Benfica2–3
2024-10-27SL Benfica vs Rio Ave FC5–0
2024-05-17Rio Ave vs SL Benfica1–1
2024-01-14SL Benfica vs Rio Ave4–1
2023-04-02Rio Ave vs SL Benfica0–1
2022-10-08SL Benfica vs Rio Ave4–2
2021-03-01SL Benfica vs Rio Ave2–0
2020-10-18Rio Ave vs SL Benfica0–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SL Benfica vs Rio Ave F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SL Benfica vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
Sun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the SL Benfica vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureRio Ave vs Benfica20 Dec 2026 →