Rio Ave F.C.vs
SL BenficaRio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica73%
- Rio Ave F.C. 7%
- Draw 20%
- SL Benfica 73%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 73.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Rio Ave F.C.: WWDWW
SL Benfica: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Rio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2025-09-23 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Rio Ave FC vs SL Benfica | 2–3 |
| 2024-10-27 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave FC | 5–0 |
| 2024-05-17 | Rio Ave vs SL Benfica | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-14 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave | 4–1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Rio Ave vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-08 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave | 4–2 |
| 2021-03-01 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave | 2–0 |
| 2020-10-18 | Rio Ave vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.