Rio Ave F.C.vs
SL BenficaRio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 20 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
SL Benfica to win73%
1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 73%.
- Rio Ave F.C.
- Draw
- SL Benfica
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rio Ave F.C. or draw27%
- Draw or SL Benfica93%
- Rio Ave F.C. or SL Benfica80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- SL Benfica, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 73.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
SL Benfica: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Rio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2025-09-23 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Rio Ave FC vs SL Benfica | 2–3 |
| 2024-10-27 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave FC | 5–0 |
| 2024-05-17 | Rio Ave vs SL Benfica | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-14 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave | 4–1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Rio Ave vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-08 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave | 4–2 |
| 2021-03-01 | SL Benfica vs Rio Ave | 2–0 |
| 2020-10-18 | Rio Ave vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 20 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.