SL Benfica crestSL BenficavsSporting CP crestSporting CP

SL Benfica vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SL Benfica or draw74%

1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 49% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko49% / 26% / 26%
  • SL Benfica
  • Draw
  • Sporting CP

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SL Benfica or draw74%
  • Draw or Sporting CP51%
  • SL Benfica or Sporting CP74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • SL Benfica, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Sporting CP, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 48.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SL Benfica: WLWWW

Sporting CP: WDDWW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-19Sporting CP vs SL Benfica1–2
2025-12-05SL Benfica vs Sporting CP1–1
2025-05-10SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–1
2024-12-29Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica1–0
2024-04-06Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica2–1
2023-11-12SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–1
2023-05-21Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica2–2
2023-01-15SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
2022-04-17Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica0–2
2021-12-03SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SL Benfica vs Sporting CP?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SL Benfica vs Sporting CP kick off?
Sun, 27 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the SL Benfica vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSporting CP vs Benfica9 May 2027 →