SL Benficavs
Sporting CPSL Benfica vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica49%
- SL Benfica 49%
- Draw 26%
- Sporting CP 26%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 48.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SL Benfica: WWWLW
Sporting CP: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Sporting CP vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-05 | SL Benfica vs Sporting CP | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-10 | SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-29 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica | 1–0 |
| 2024-04-06 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica | 2–1 |
| 2023-11-12 | SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-21 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-15 | SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2–2 |
| 2022-04-17 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-03 | SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs Sporting CP?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs Sporting CP kick off?
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.