Sporting CP crestSporting CPvsSL Benfica crestSL Benfica

Sporting CP vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Sporting CP to win53%

1X2: model backs Sporting CP at 53%.

Tofiko53% / 25% / 22%
  • Sporting CP
  • Draw
  • SL Benfica

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Sporting CP or draw78%
  • Draw or SL Benfica47%
  • Sporting CP or SL Benfica75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • Sporting CP, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • SL Benfica, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 52.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Sporting CP won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Sporting CP: WDDWW

SL Benfica: WLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-19Sporting CP vs SL Benfica1–2
2025-12-05SL Benfica vs Sporting CP1–1
2025-05-10SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–1
2024-12-29Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica1–0
2024-04-06Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica2–1
2023-11-12SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–1
2023-05-21Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica2–2
2023-01-15SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
2022-04-17Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica0–2
2021-12-03SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sporting CP vs SL Benfica?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting CP vs SL Benfica kick off?
Sun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Sporting CP vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBenfica vs Sporting CP27 Dec 2026 →