Sporting CP vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Sporting CP to win53%
1X2: model backs Sporting CP at 53%.
- Sporting CP
- Draw
- SL Benfica
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Sporting CP or draw78%
- Draw or SL Benfica47%
- Sporting CP or SL Benfica75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Sporting CP, last 10 home games7 of 10
- SL Benfica, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 52.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Sporting CP won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Sporting CP: WDDWW
SL Benfica: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Sporting CP vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-05 | SL Benfica vs Sporting CP | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-10 | SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-29 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica | 1–0 |
| 2024-04-06 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica | 2–1 |
| 2023-11-12 | SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-21 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-15 | SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2–2 |
| 2022-04-17 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-03 | SL Benfica vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting CP vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting CP vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Sporting CP vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.