Casa Pia ACvs
FC PortoCasa Pia AC vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto72%
- Casa Pia AC 7%
- Draw 21%
- FC Porto 72%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 72.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Casa Pia AC won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Casa Pia AC's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 1 of them and conceded in 5. FC Porto's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Casa Pia AC: LLLLL
FC Porto: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-24 | FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC | 4–0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-02 | FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-21 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-09 | FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC | 3–1 |
| 2023-05-14 | FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-07 | Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.