FC Porto crestFC PortovsCasa Pia AC crestCasa Pia AC

FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Porto to win78%

1X2: model backs FC Porto at 78%.

Tofiko78% / 17% / 5%
  • FC Porto
  • Draw
  • Casa Pia AC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Porto or draw95%
  • Draw or Casa Pia AC22%
  • FC Porto or Casa Pia AC83%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.556%
  • Under 2.544%

Both teams to score

  • FC Porto, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Casa Pia AC, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 77.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and FC Porto won 7 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. FC Porto's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Casa Pia AC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Porto: WWWWL

Casa Pia AC: LWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 2.78Avg goals
  • 56%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto1–4
2026-02-02Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto2–1
2025-08-24FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC4–0
2025-04-12Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto0–1
2024-12-02FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC2–0
2024-04-21Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto1–2
2023-12-09FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC3–1
2023-05-14FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC2–1
2023-01-07Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto0–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC?
Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
Sun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Porto vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.78 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legCasa Pia 1-4 FC Porto12 Sept 2026 →