Estrela Amadora crestEstrela AmadoravsCasa Pia AC crestCasa Pia AC

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Estrela Amadora41%

Tofiko41% / 29% / 30%
  • Estrela Amadora
  • Draw
  • Casa Pia AC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 40.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and Estrela Amadora won 4 of 7. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Casa Pia AC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 33 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Estrela Amadora: LDWDW

Casa Pia AC: WLDLL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 33 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 7Games
  • 3.14Avg goals
  • 43%Both scored
  • 57%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-18Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC1–2
2026-03-20Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC4–0
2025-11-01Casa Pia AC vs Estrela Amadora3–5
2025-02-09Casa Pia AC vs Estrela Amadora1–0
2024-08-31Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC0–1
2024-03-08Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC3–1
2023-10-08Casa Pia AC vs Estrela Amadora0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC?
Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.14 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureCasa Pia vs Estrela14 Mar 2027 →