Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 25 Oct 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Estrela Amadora41%
- Estrela Amadora 41%
- Draw 29%
- Casa Pia AC 30%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Estrela Amadora won 4 of 7. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 54 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: WDDWW
Casa Pia AC: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 54 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 7Games
- 3.14Avg goals
- 43%Both scored
- 57%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC | 1–2 |
| 2026-03-20 | Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC | 4–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Casa Pia AC vs Estrela Amadora | 3–5 |
| 2025-02-09 | Casa Pia AC vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC | 0–1 |
| 2024-03-08 | Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC | 3–1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Casa Pia AC vs Estrela Amadora | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.14 goals per game.