Estrela Amadoravs
Casa Pia ACEstrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Estrela Amadora or draw70%
1X2: model backs Estrela Amadora at 41% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Estrela Amadora
- Draw
- Casa Pia AC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Estrela Amadora or draw70%
- Draw or Casa Pia AC59%
- Estrela Amadora or Casa Pia AC71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.537%
- Under 2.563%
Both teams to score
- Estrela Amadora, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Casa Pia AC, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 40.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Estrela Amadora won 4 of 7. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: LLDWD
Casa Pia AC: LWLDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 7Games
- 3.14Avg goals
- 43%Both scored
- 57%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC | 1–2 |
| 2026-03-20 | Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC | 4–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Casa Pia AC vs Estrela Amadora | 3–5 |
| 2025-02-09 | Casa Pia AC vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC | 0–1 |
| 2024-03-08 | Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC | 3–1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Casa Pia AC vs Estrela Amadora | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.14 goals per game.