GD Estoril Praiavs
MoreirenseGD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 25 Oct 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs GD Estoril Praia52%
- GD Estoril Praia 52%
- Draw 26%
- Moreirense 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick GD Estoril Praia, rating it at 52.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and GD Estoril Praia won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
GD Estoril Praia: DDDLW
Moreirense: LWDLD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-07 | GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense | 3–3 |
| 2025-05-11 | Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-28 | GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-18 | Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia | 2–1 |
| 2024-01-13 | GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense | 1–3 |
| 2022-05-07 | GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-28 | Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense?
- Tofiko's model favours GD Estoril Praia (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.