CD Nacional vs SC Braga Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 25 Oct 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
SC Braga to win65%
1X2: model backs SC Braga at 65%.
- CD Nacional
- Draw
- SC Braga
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- CD Nacional or draw35%
- Draw or SC Braga88%
- CD Nacional or SC Braga77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- CD Nacional, last 10 home games5 of 10
- SC Braga, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Braga, rating it at 65.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. SC Braga's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
CD Nacional: LLLLL
SC Braga: LDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | CD Nacional vs SC Braga | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-28 | SC Braga vs CD Nacional | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-21 | SC Braga vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-20 | CD Nacional vs SC Braga | 0–3 |
| 2021-02-28 | CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga | 1–2 |
| 2020-10-17 | Sporting Braga vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs SC Braga?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Braga (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Nacional vs SC Braga kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs SC Braga head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.