Rio Ave F.C. crestRio Ave F.C.vsFC Famalicao crestFC Famalicao

Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Famalicao Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 25 Oct 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Famalicao or draw69%

1X2: model backs FC Famalicao at 40% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko31% / 29% / 40%
  • Rio Ave F.C.
  • Draw
  • FC Famalicao

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Rio Ave F.C. or draw60%
  • Draw or FC Famalicao69%
  • Rio Ave F.C. or FC Famalicao71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.539%
  • Under 2.561%

Both teams to score

  • Rio Ave F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
  • FC Famalicao, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 40.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. FC Famalicao's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL

FC Famalicao: WDDDL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 20%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-01Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Famalicao0–0
2025-09-28FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave F.C.0–0
2025-03-10FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave FC1–0
2024-10-04Rio Ave FC vs FC Famalicao1–1
2024-02-16FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave2–1
2023-09-16Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao1–1
2023-05-26Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao2–2
2023-01-22FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave0–0
2021-02-21Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao0–1
2020-10-04FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Famalicao?
Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Famalicao kick off?
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Famalicao head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 7 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFamalicao vs Rio Ave14 Mar 2027 →