FC Portovs
Estrela AmadoraFC Porto vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto79%
- FC Porto 79%
- Draw 16%
- Estrela Amadora 5%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 79.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and FC Porto won 5 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Porto's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 103 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Porto: WWWWW
Estrela Amadora: WDDWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 103 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-15 | FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Porto | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-16 | FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
| 2024-02-17 | FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-15 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.