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FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Porto to win79%

1X2: model backs FC Porto at 79%.

Tofiko79% / 16% / 5%
  • FC Porto
  • Draw
  • Estrela Amadora

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Porto or draw95%
  • Draw or Estrela Amadora21%
  • FC Porto or Estrela Amadora84%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.560%
  • Under 2.540%

Both teams to score

  • FC Porto, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Estrela Amadora, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 79.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and FC Porto won 5 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Porto: WWWWL

Estrela Amadora: LLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 6Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26Estrela Amadora vs FC Porto1–2
2025-12-15FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora3–1
2025-04-26Estrela Amadora vs FC Porto2–0
2024-12-16FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora2–0
2024-02-17FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora2–0
2023-09-15Estrela Amadora vs FC Porto0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora?
Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Porto vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureEstrela vs FC Porto25 Apr 2027 →