Estrela Amadoravs
CD NacionalEstrela Amadora vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 07 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Estrela Amadora or draw74%
1X2: model backs Estrela Amadora at 46% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Estrela Amadora
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Estrela Amadora or draw74%
- Draw or CD Nacional54%
- Estrela Amadora or CD Nacional72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.538%
- Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
- Estrela Amadora, last 10 home games6 of 10
- CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 45.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Estrela Amadora won 4 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 119 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: LLDWD
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 119 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 17%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2026-04-04 | CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-06 | CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 07 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.