CD Nacionalvs
Estrela AmadoraCD Nacional 2-3 Estrela Amadora — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 30 Aug 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CD Nacional46%
Tofiko46% / 26% / 28%
Market41% / 28% / 31%
- CD Nacional
- Draw
- Estrela Amadora
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick CD Nacional, rating it at 45.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Estrela Amadora: LDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 17%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2026-04-04 | CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-06 | CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.