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CD Nacional crestCD NacionalvsEstrela Amadora crestEstrela Amadora

CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CD Nacional51%

CD Nacional 51%
Draw 27%
Estrela Amadora 22%
  • CD Nacional 51%
  • Draw 27%
  • Estrela Amadora 22%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick CD Nacional, rating it at 51.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

CD Nacional: LLDDD

Estrela Amadora: WWDWL

Head-to-head

  • 5Games
  • 1.80Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-23Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional2–0
2026-04-04CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora2–0
2025-11-09Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional1–1
2025-04-06CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora0–1
2024-11-10Estrela Amadora vs CD Nacional2–0

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FAQ

Who will win CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?
Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the CD Nacional vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.

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