Estrela Amadoravs
Rio Ave F.C.Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Estrela Amadora or draw69%
1X2: model backs Estrela Amadora at 39% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Estrela Amadora
- Draw
- Rio Ave F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Estrela Amadora or draw69%
- Draw or Rio Ave F.C.61%
- Estrela Amadora or Rio Ave F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.537%
- Under 2.563%
Both teams to score
- Estrela Amadora, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 39.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Estrela Amadora won 1 of 7, with 3 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: LLDWD
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 7Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 71%Both scored
- 57%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Estrela Amadora | 3–3 |
| 2026-03-15 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Estrela Amadora | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-05 | Rio Ave FC(N) vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-23 | Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave FC | 1–0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-02 | Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.