Rio Ave F.C.vs
Estrela AmadoraRio Ave F.C. 3-3 Estrela Amadora — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaMon, 14 Sep 2026 17:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rio Ave F.C.46%
Tofiko46% / 26% / 28%
Market35% / 29% / 36%
- Rio Ave F.C.
- Draw
- Estrela Amadora
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 46.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won 2 of 7, with 3 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
Rio Ave F.C.: LDLLW
Estrela Amadora: LDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 71%Both scored
- 57%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Estrela Amadora | 3–3 |
| 2026-03-15 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Estrela Amadora | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-05 | Rio Ave FC(N) vs Estrela Amadora | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-23 | Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave FC | 1–0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-02 | Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 17:45 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.