Estrela Amadora crestEstrela AmadoravsSC Braga crestSC Braga

Estrela Amadora 2-1 SC Braga — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaThu, 10 Sep 2026 19:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Braga59%

Tofiko20% / 21% / 59%
Market15% / 23% / 62%
  • Estrela Amadora
  • Draw
  • SC Braga

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Braga, rating it at 59.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and Estrela Amadora won 1 of 7, with 3 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. SC Braga's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Estrela Amadora: DWDWD

SC Braga: WLWWD

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 7Games
  • 3.57Avg goals
  • 71%Both scored
  • 71%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-10Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga2–1
2026-05-16SC Braga vs Estrela Amadora2–2
2026-01-03Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga3–3
2025-01-19Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga0–1
2024-08-11SC Braga vs Estrela Amadora1–1
2024-03-02SC Braga vs Estrela Amadora3–0
2023-09-28Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga2–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga?
Tofiko's model favours SC Braga (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga kick off?
Thu, 10 Sep 2026 19:15 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.57 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSC Braga vs Estrela31 Jan 2027 →