Estrela Amadoravs
SC BragaEstrela Amadora vs SC Braga Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaThu, 10 Sep 2026 19:15 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Braga66%
- Estrela Amadora 11%
- Draw 22%
- SC Braga 66%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Braga, rating it at 66.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Estrela Amadora won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. SC Braga's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 9 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Estrela Amadora: WDDWW
SC Braga: WDWDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 9 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | SC Braga vs Estrela Amadora | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga | 3–3 |
| 2025-01-19 | Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga | 0–1 |
| 2024-08-11 | SC Braga vs Estrela Amadora | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-02 | SC Braga vs Estrela Amadora | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-28 | Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga | 2–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Braga (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 19:15 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs SC Braga head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.