Estrela Amadoravs
Sporting CPEstrela Amadora vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSat, 08 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting CP76%
- Estrela Amadora 5%
- Draw 18%
- Sporting CP 76%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 76.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Estrela Amadora won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Estrela Amadora: WWDWL
Sporting CP: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora | 4–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–3 |
| 2024-11-01 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Estrela Amadora | 5–1 |
| 2024-03-29 | Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-05 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Estrela Amadora | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP kick off?
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.