Sporting CPvs
Estrela AmadoraSporting CP vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting CP80%
- Sporting CP 80%
- Draw 16%
- Estrela Amadora 4%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 79.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Sporting CP won 2 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Estrela Amadora's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 15.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting CP: DWWWW
Estrela Amadora: DWWDW
Head-to-head
- 7Games
- 3.71Avg goals
- 57%Both scored
- 86%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora | 4–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–3 |
| 2024-11-01 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Estrela Amadora | 5–1 |
| 2024-03-29 | Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-05 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Estrela Amadora | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.71 goals per game.