Sporting CP crestSporting CPvsEstrela Amadora crestEstrela Amadora

Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Sporting CP to win80%

1X2: model backs Sporting CP at 80%.

Tofiko80% / 16% / 4%
  • Sporting CP
  • Draw
  • Estrela Amadora

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Sporting CP or draw96%
  • Draw or Estrela Amadora20%
  • Sporting CP or Estrela Amadora84%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.568%
  • Under 2.532%

Both teams to score

  • Sporting CP, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Estrela Amadora, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 79.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and Sporting CP won 2 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Sporting CP: WDDWW

Estrela Amadora: LLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 7Games
  • 3.71Avg goals
  • 57%Both scored
  • 86%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-08Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP2–2
2026-04-11Estrela Amadora vs Sporting CP0–1
2025-11-30Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora4–0
2025-03-29Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–3
2024-11-01Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Estrela Amadora5–1
2024-03-29Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–2
2023-11-05Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Estrela Amadora3–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Sporting CP vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.71 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legEstrela 2-2 Sporting CP8 Aug 2026 →