FC Famalicao crestFC FamalicaovsRio Ave F.C. crestRio Ave F.C.

FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Famalicao to win61%

1X2: model backs FC Famalicao at 61%.

Tofiko61% / 25% / 14%
  • FC Famalicao
  • Draw
  • Rio Ave F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Famalicao or draw86%
  • Draw or Rio Ave F.C.39%
  • FC Famalicao or Rio Ave F.C.75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.540%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • FC Famalicao, last 10 home games2 of 10
  • Rio Ave F.C., last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 61.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Famalicao won 3 of 10, with 7 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. FC Famalicao's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Famalicao: WDDDL

Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 20%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-01Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Famalicao0–0
2025-09-28FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave F.C.0–0
2025-03-10FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave FC1–0
2024-10-04Rio Ave FC vs FC Famalicao1–1
2024-02-16FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave2–1
2023-09-16Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao1–1
2023-05-26Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao2–2
2023-01-22FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave0–0
2021-02-21Rio Ave vs FC Famalicao0–1
2020-10-04FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave1–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
Sun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Famalicao vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 7 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureRio Ave vs Famalicao25 Oct 2026 →