FC Portovs
CD NacionalFC Porto vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Porto to win79%
1X2: model backs FC Porto at 79%.
- FC Porto
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Porto or draw95%
- Draw or CD Nacional21%
- FC Porto or CD Nacional83%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.560%
- Under 2.540%
Both teams to score
- FC Porto, last 10 home games3 of 10
- CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 78.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and FC Porto won 5 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Porto: WWWWL
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 17%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | CD Nacional vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | FC Porto vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-17 | FC Porto vs CD Nacional | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-12 | CD Nacional vs FC Porto | 2–0 |
| 2021-04-18 | CD Nacional vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2020-12-20 | FC Porto vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.