FC Portovs
CD NacionalFC Porto vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto79%
- FC Porto 79%
- Draw 17%
- CD Nacional 5%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 78.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and FC Porto won 5 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 16.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Porto: WWLWW
CD Nacional: LLDDD
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 17%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | CD Nacional vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | FC Porto vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-17 | FC Porto vs CD Nacional | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-12 | CD Nacional vs FC Porto | 2–0 |
| 2021-04-18 | CD Nacional vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2020-12-20 | FC Porto vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.