CD Nacionalvs
FC PortoCD Nacional vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Porto to win74%
1X2: model backs FC Porto at 74%.
- CD Nacional
- Draw
- FC Porto
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- CD Nacional or draw26%
- Draw or FC Porto94%
- CD Nacional or FC Porto80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- CD Nacional, last 10 home games5 of 10
- FC Porto, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 74.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
CD Nacional: LLLLL
FC Porto: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 17%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | CD Nacional vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | FC Porto vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-17 | FC Porto vs CD Nacional | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-12 | CD Nacional vs FC Porto | 2–0 |
| 2021-04-18 | CD Nacional vs FC Porto | 0–1 |
| 2020-12-20 | FC Porto vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs FC Porto?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Nacional vs FC Porto kick off?
- Sun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.