Gil Vicente FCvs
CD NacionalGil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Gil Vicente FC to win61%
1X2: model backs Gil Vicente FC at 61%.
- Gil Vicente FC
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Gil Vicente FC or draw86%
- Draw or CD Nacional39%
- Gil Vicente FC or CD Nacional75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.541%
- Under 2.559%
Both teams to score
- Gil Vicente FC, last 10 home games5 of 10
- CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Gil Vicente FC, rating it at 60.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Gil Vicente FC won 4 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Gil Vicente FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 216 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Gil Vicente FC: WDLLD
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 216 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-09 | CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC | 0–2 |
| 2025-04-19 | CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC | 0–3 |
| 2024-12-07 | Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2021-03-19 | Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2020-11-08 | CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours Gil Vicente FC (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.