CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Gil Vicente FC37%
- CD Nacional
- Draw
- Gil Vicente FC
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- CD Nacional or draw63%
- Draw or Gil Vicente FC66%
- CD Nacional or Gil Vicente FC71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.539%
- Under 2.561%
Both teams to score
- CD Nacional, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Gil Vicente FC, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Gil Vicente FC, rating it at 37.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and CD Nacional won 1 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Gil Vicente FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 90 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Gil Vicente FC: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 90 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-09 | CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC | 0–2 |
| 2025-04-19 | CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC | 0–3 |
| 2024-12-07 | Gil Vicente FC vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2021-03-19 | Gil Vicente vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2020-11-08 | CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Gil Vicente FC (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC kick off?
- Sun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.