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Gil Vicente FC crestGil Vicente FCvsRio Ave F.C. crestRio Ave F.C.

Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 09 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Gil Vicente FC56%

Gil Vicente FC 56%
Draw 26%
Rio Ave F.C. 18%
  • Gil Vicente FC 56%
  • Draw 26%
  • Rio Ave F.C. 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Gil Vicente FC, rating it at 56.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Gil Vicente FC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Gil Vicente FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Gil Vicente FC: WDWDL

Rio Ave F.C.: WWDWW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.40Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-03Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC0–0
2025-12-20Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave F.C.2–2
2025-05-16Rio Ave FC(N) vs Gil Vicente FC1–1
2025-01-06Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave FC1–1
2024-04-06Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente3–0
2023-11-12Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave1–1
2023-03-12Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente2–1
2022-09-17Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave2–2
2021-04-03Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente0–2
2020-11-29Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Gil Vicente FC (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
Sun, 09 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 6 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.

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