Rio Ave F.C. crestRio Ave F.C.vsGil Vicente FC crestGil Vicente FC

Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Rio Ave F.C. or draw69%

1X2: model backs Rio Ave F.C. at 40% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko40% / 29% / 31%
  • Rio Ave F.C.
  • Draw
  • Gil Vicente FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Rio Ave F.C. or draw69%
  • Draw or Gil Vicente FC60%
  • Rio Ave F.C. or Gil Vicente FC71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.538%
  • Under 2.562%

Both teams to score

  • Rio Ave F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Gil Vicente FC, last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 40.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Gil Vicente FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 98 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL

Gil Vicente FC: WDLLD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 98 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-09Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave F.C.1–0
2026-05-03Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC0–0
2025-12-20Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave F.C.2–2
2025-05-16Rio Ave FC(N) vs Gil Vicente FC1–1
2025-01-06Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave FC1–1
2024-04-06Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente3–0
2023-11-12Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave1–1
2023-03-12Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente2–1
2022-09-17Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave2–2
2021-04-03Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente0–2

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FAQ

Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC?
Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 6 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legGIL Vicente 1-0 Rio Ave9 Aug 2026 →