Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Rio Ave F.C. or draw69%
1X2: model backs Rio Ave F.C. at 40% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Rio Ave F.C.
- Draw
- Gil Vicente FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rio Ave F.C. or draw69%
- Draw or Gil Vicente FC60%
- Rio Ave F.C. or Gil Vicente FC71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.538%
- Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Gil Vicente FC, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 40.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Gil Vicente FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 98 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Gil Vicente FC: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 98 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-16 | Rio Ave FC(N) vs Gil Vicente FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-06 | Gil Vicente FC vs Rio Ave FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente | 3–0 |
| 2023-11-12 | Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave | 1–1 |
| 2023-03-12 | Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave | 2–2 |
| 2021-04-03 | Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC kick off?
- Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs Gil Vicente FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 6 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.