Moreirensevs
Vitoria GuimaraesMoreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Moreirense40%
- Moreirense
- Draw
- Vitoria Guimaraes
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Moreirense or draw69%
- Draw or Vitoria Guimaraes60%
- Moreirense or Vitoria Guimaraes72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.540%
- Under 2.560%
Both teams to score
- Moreirense, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Moreirense, rating it at 40.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Moreirense won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 139 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Moreirense: LDWLL
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 139 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.80Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense | 1–1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-03 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense | 1–0 |
| 2023-11-05 | Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-03 | Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense | 2–1 |
| 2021-04-30 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.