Vitoria Guimaraesvs
CD NacionalVitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes64%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 64%
- Draw 23%
- CD Nacional 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 64.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 3 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW
CD Nacional: LLDDD
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.83Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–2 |
| 2024-12-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 2–2 |
| 2021-04-26 | CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–0 |
| 2021-01-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.