Vitoria Guimaraesvs
CD NacionalVitoria Guimaraes 1-0 CD Nacional — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes55%
- Vitoria Guimaraes
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 54.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 4 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
Vitoria Guimaraes: DLDLW
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 2.57Avg goals
- 57%Both scored
- 57%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-16 | CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–2 |
| 2024-12-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 2–2 |
| 2021-04-26 | CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–0 |
| 2021-01-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.57 goals per game.