CD Nacionalvs
Vitoria GuimaraesCD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes42%
- CD Nacional
- Draw
- Vitoria Guimaraes
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- CD Nacional or draw58%
- Draw or Vitoria Guimaraes70%
- CD Nacional or Vitoria Guimaraes72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.541%
- Under 2.559%
Both teams to score
- CD Nacional, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 41.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and CD Nacional won 2 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 112 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 112 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 7Games
- 2.57Avg goals
- 57%Both scored
- 57%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-16 | CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–2 |
| 2024-12-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 2–2 |
| 2021-04-26 | CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–0 |
| 2021-01-21 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sun, 31 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.57 goals per game.