Vitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria GuimaraesvsRio Ave F.C. crestRio Ave F.C.

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes60%

Tofiko60% / 25% / 15%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Draw
  • Rio Ave F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 59.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 5 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 4. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Vitoria Guimaraes: DLDLW

Rio Ave F.C.: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 1.90Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C.2–0
2025-12-13Rio Ave F.C. vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–1
2025-04-27Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC3–0
2024-12-16Rio Ave FC vs Vitoria Guimaraes2–2
2024-05-04Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes2–1
2023-12-23Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave1–0
2023-05-14Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–1
2023-01-07Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave0–0
2021-02-13Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave1–3
2020-09-27Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureRio Ave vs Vitória SC9 May 2027 →