Vitoria Guimaraesvs
Rio Ave F.C.Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Vitoria Guimaraes to win60%
1X2: model backs Vitoria Guimaraes at 60%.
- Vitoria Guimaraes
- Draw
- Rio Ave F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Vitoria Guimaraes or draw85%
- Draw or Rio Ave F.C.40%
- Vitoria Guimaraes or Rio Ave F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.542%
- Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 home games4 of 10
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 59.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 5 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.90Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-16 | Rio Ave FC vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-14 | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-07 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave | 0–0 |
| 2021-02-13 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave | 1–3 |
| 2020-09-27 | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.