Vitoria Guimaraesvs
Rio Ave F.C.Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes60%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 60%
- Draw 25%
- Rio Ave F.C. 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 59.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 5 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW
Rio Ave F.C.: WWDWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 1.90Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-16 | Rio Ave FC vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-14 | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-07 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave | 0–0 |
| 2021-02-13 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave | 1–3 |
| 2020-09-27 | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.