Rio Ave F.C.vs
Vitoria GuimaraesRio Ave F.C. vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rio Ave F.C.36%
- Rio Ave F.C.
- Draw
- Vitoria Guimaraes
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rio Ave F.C. or draw65%
- Draw or Vitoria Guimaraes64%
- Rio Ave F.C. or Vitoria Guimaraes71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.540%
- Under 2.560%
Both teams to score
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 36.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.90Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-16 | Rio Ave FC vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-14 | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-07 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave | 0–0 |
| 2021-02-13 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Rio Ave | 1–3 |
| 2020-09-27 | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.