Vitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria GuimaraesvsSporting CP crestSporting CP

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Sporting CP to win69%

1X2: model backs Sporting CP at 69%.

Tofiko9% / 22% / 69%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Draw
  • Sporting CP

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Vitoria Guimaraes or draw31%
  • Draw or Sporting CP91%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes or Sporting CP78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Sporting CP, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 69.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 104 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD

Sporting CP: WDDWW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 104 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 4.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-14Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–2
2026-05-04Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes5–1
2025-12-23Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP1–4
2025-05-17Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes2–0
2025-01-03Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal4–4
2024-04-21Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0
2023-12-09Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal3–2
2023-04-24Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–2
2022-11-05Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0
2022-03-19Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP kick off?
Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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