Sporting CP crestSporting CPvsVitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria Guimaraes

Sporting CP 3-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaFri, 14 Aug 2026 19:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sporting CP75%

Tofiko75% / 18% / 8%
Market72% / 17% / 11%
  • Sporting CP
  • Draw
  • Vitoria Guimaraes

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 74.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Sporting CP won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Sporting CP: DDWWW

Vitoria Guimaraes: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 4.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-14Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–2
2026-05-04Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes5–1
2025-12-23Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP1–4
2025-05-17Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes2–0
2025-01-03Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal4–4
2024-04-21Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0
2023-12-09Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal3–2
2023-04-24Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–2
2022-11-05Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0
2022-03-19Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 19:15 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureVitória SC vs Sporting CP24 Jan 2027 →