Sporting CPvs
Vitoria GuimaraesSporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaFri, 14 Aug 2026 19:15 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting CP77%
- Sporting CP 77%
- Draw 18%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 6%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 76.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Sporting CP won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting CP: WWWWD
Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 5–1 |
| 2025-12-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP | 1–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-03 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 4–4 |
| 2024-04-21 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2023-12-09 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-24 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–2 |
| 2022-11-05 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2022-03-19 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–3 |
| 2021-10-30 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Fri, 14 Aug 2026 19:15 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.