Vitoria Guimaraesvs
Sporting CPVitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting CP69%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 9%
- Draw 22%
- Sporting CP 69%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 69.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWLLW
Sporting CP: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 5–1 |
| 2025-12-23 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP | 1–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-03 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 4–4 |
| 2024-04-21 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2023-12-09 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-24 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 0–2 |
| 2022-11-05 | Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2022-03-19 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.30 goals per game.