Moreirense crestMoreirensevsGD Estoril Praia crestGD Estoril Praia

Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Moreirense or draw74%

1X2: model backs Moreirense at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko48% / 26% / 26%
  • Moreirense
  • Draw
  • GD Estoril Praia

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Moreirense or draw74%
  • Draw or GD Estoril Praia52%
  • Moreirense or GD Estoril Praia74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.548%
  • Under 2.552%

Both teams to score

  • Moreirense, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • GD Estoril Praia, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 48.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Moreirense won 4 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 154 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Moreirense: LDWLL

GD Estoril Praia: LLLDL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 154 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 8Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 63%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-20Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia1–0
2025-12-07GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense3–3
2025-05-11Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia2–2
2024-12-28GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense2–2
2024-05-18Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia2–1
2024-01-13GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense1–3
2022-05-07GD Estoril Praia vs Moreirense1–0
2021-12-28Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia?
Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia kick off?
Sun, 14 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Moreirense vs GD Estoril Praia head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureEstoril vs Moreirense25 Oct 2026 →