Moreirensevs
Rio Ave F.C.Moreirense vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Moreirense to win52%
1X2: model backs Moreirense at 52%.
- Moreirense
- Draw
- Rio Ave F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Moreirense or draw79%
- Draw or Rio Ave F.C.48%
- Moreirense or Rio Ave F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.538%
- Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
- Moreirense, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 52.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Moreirense won 3 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 216 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Moreirense: LDWLL
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 216 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave FC | 0–2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Rio Ave FC vs Moreirense | 3–2 |
| 2024-03-02 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Rio Ave vs Moreirense | 0–4 |
| 2021-03-14 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave | 1–1 |
| 2020-10-31 | Rio Ave vs Moreirense | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs Rio Ave F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Moreirense vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Moreirense vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.