Rio Ave F.C.vs
MoreirenseRio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 10 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rio Ave F.C.44%
- Rio Ave F.C. 44%
- Draw 29%
- Moreirense 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 44.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Rio Ave F.C.: WWDWW
Moreirense: LWDLD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave FC | 0–2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Rio Ave FC vs Moreirense | 3–2 |
| 2024-03-02 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Rio Ave vs Moreirense | 0–4 |
| 2021-03-14 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave | 1–1 |
| 2020-10-31 | Rio Ave vs Moreirense | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense?
- Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense kick off?
- Sun, 10 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.