Rio Ave F.C.vs
MoreirenseRio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Rio Ave F.C. or draw73%
1X2: model backs Rio Ave F.C. at 44% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Rio Ave F.C.
- Draw
- Moreirense
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rio Ave F.C. or draw73%
- Draw or Moreirense56%
- Rio Ave F.C. or Moreirense71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.538%
- Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Moreirense, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 44.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 90 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Moreirense: LDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 90 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave FC | 0–2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Rio Ave FC vs Moreirense | 3–2 |
| 2024-03-02 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Rio Ave vs Moreirense | 0–4 |
| 2021-03-14 | Moreirense vs Rio Ave | 1–1 |
| 2020-10-31 | Rio Ave vs Moreirense | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense?
- Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense kick off?
- Sun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.