Moreirense 1-0 C.D. Tondela — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 11 Jan 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Moreirense56%
Tofiko56% / 24% / 21%
Market43% / 29% / 28%
- Moreirense
- Draw
- C.D. Tondela
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 55.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Moreirense won 2 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026.
Moreirense: DWLLW
C.D. Tondela: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.17Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | C.D. Tondela vs Moreirense | 2–0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Moreirense vs C.D. Tondela | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Moreirense vs Desportivo de Tondela | 2–0 |
| 2022-01-03 | Desportivo de Tondela vs Moreirense | 2–1 |
| 2021-04-17 | Moreirense vs Desportivo de Tondela | 2–3 |
| 2020-12-19 | Desportivo de Tondela vs Moreirense | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs C.D. Tondela?
- Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Moreirense vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
- Sun, 11 Jan 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Moreirense vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.17 goals per game.