Moreirense crestMoreirensevsC.D. Tondela crestC.D. Tondela

Moreirense 1-0 C.D. Tondela — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 11 Jan 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Moreirense56%

Tofiko56% / 24% / 21%
Market43% / 29% / 28%
  • Moreirense
  • Draw
  • C.D. Tondela

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 55.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Moreirense won 2 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

Moreirense: DWLLW

C.D. Tondela: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.17Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-11C.D. Tondela vs Moreirense2–0
2026-01-11Moreirense vs C.D. Tondela1–0
2022-04-16Moreirense vs Desportivo de Tondela2–0
2022-01-03Desportivo de Tondela vs Moreirense2–1
2021-04-17Moreirense vs Desportivo de Tondela2–3
2020-12-19Desportivo de Tondela vs Moreirense0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Moreirense vs C.D. Tondela?
Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Moreirense vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
Sun, 11 Jan 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Moreirense vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.17 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legTondela 2-0 Moreirense11 May 2026 →