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C.D. Tondela crestC.D. TondelavsMoreirense crestMoreirense

C.D. Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaMon, 11 May 2026 19:15 GMTStatus: finished

Final: C.D. Tondela 20 Moreirense

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Moreirense41%

C.D. Tondela 32%
Draw 28%
Moreirense 41%
  • C.D. Tondela 32%
  • Draw 28%
  • Moreirense 41%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and C.D. Tondela won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

C.D. Tondela: LDLLW

Moreirense: LWDLD

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 2.17Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-11C.D. Tondela vs Moreirense2–0
2026-01-11Moreirense vs C.D. Tondela1–0
2022-04-16Moreirense vs Desportivo de Tondela2–0
2022-01-03Desportivo de Tondela vs Moreirense2–1
2021-04-17Moreirense vs Desportivo de Tondela2–3
2020-12-19Desportivo de Tondela vs Moreirense0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win C.D. Tondela vs Moreirense?
Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does C.D. Tondela vs Moreirense kick off?
Mon, 11 May 2026 19:15 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the C.D. Tondela vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.17 goals per game.

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