CD Nacional crestCD NacionalvsC.D. Tondela crestC.D. Tondela

CD Nacional 3-1 C.D. Tondela — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaMon, 15 Dec 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CD Nacional47%

Tofiko47% / 25% / 28%
Market42% / 29% / 30%
  • CD Nacional
  • Draw
  • C.D. Tondela

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick CD Nacional, rating it at 47.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and CD Nacional won 3 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

CD Nacional: LLLLL

C.D. Tondela: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-19C.D. Tondela vs CD Nacional1–1
2026-04-25C.D. Tondela vs CD Nacional0–2
2025-12-15CD Nacional vs C.D. Tondela3–1
2021-04-22Desportivo de Tondela vs CD Nacional2–1
2020-12-27CD Nacional vs Desportivo de Tondela2–0

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FAQ

Who will win CD Nacional vs C.D. Tondela?
Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CD Nacional vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
Mon, 15 Dec 2025 17:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the CD Nacional vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legTondela 0-2 Nacional25 Apr 2026 →