C.D. Tondelavs
CD NacionalC.D. Tondela vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSat, 25 Apr 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: C.D. Tondela 0–2 CD Nacional
Tofiko prediction
Model backs C.D. Tondela41%
- C.D. Tondela 41%
- Draw 25%
- CD Nacional 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick C.D. Tondela, rating it at 41.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 5 times, and C.D. Tondela won none of them. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
C.D. Tondela: LDLLW
CD Nacional: LLDDD
Head-to-head
- 5Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | C.D. Tondela vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | C.D. Tondela vs CD Nacional | 0–2 |
| 2025-12-15 | CD Nacional vs C.D. Tondela | 3–1 |
| 2021-04-22 | Desportivo de Tondela vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2020-12-27 | CD Nacional vs Desportivo de Tondela | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win C.D. Tondela vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours C.D. Tondela (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does C.D. Tondela vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the C.D. Tondela vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 5 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.